Winenut
GO AVZ!!!!
I do believe a TO will eventually materialise, I never believed AVZ is staffed, experienced or capable to design, procure, construct and run the largest hard rock lithium mine and transport its product. But IMO the company will never be allowed to be sold wholly to a Chinese entity, it would not get through FIRB. One of large Australian miners or international consortium is more realistic. The Chinese challenges IMO all revolve around % ownership of Dathcom and the ML tenement split, not AVZ TO.
However TO will not happen until a number of things fall into place to have clarity on the value of AVZ:
1) Clarity on the ML - what is covered, is CDL included or not - how much of the asset is covered for exploitation and how much under exploration, and with who
2) Ownership - does AVZ own 51%, 66%, 75% of Dathcom or something else
3) BFS on 4.5 and 10MTpa - put it out there how much AVZ thinks the asset is worth
4) MEZ - commercial / Tax regime
5) Further Off-takes?
6) Further drilling to increase resource base?
Don't reckon any of this has to go through FIRB.IMO we definitely need items 1, 2 and 3 to negotiate a TO.
The key entity in all of this is actually Dathcom (not AVZ)
I don't believe Dathcom is an Australian domiciled company therefore it is not within FIRB's jurisdiction
If anyone want's to buy Dathcom they can.....assuming the current shareholders in Dathcom agree to the sale
The FIRB can't stop that happening
Happy to stand corrected